It will temporarily benefit those who get jobs, but it will never benefit the consumer. If you watched the video I provided, and you should, you would see how at least some trade deficits happen. Pulling production back to the U.S. will increase the cost of goods. It's literally the materialism of the West, combined with the desire to pay less, that is driving companies to go to other countries for cheap labour. The cheaper cost of production means we pay less, so we buy more from those countries. It is that that creates a trade imbalance.
What will happen is that either those companies that come back will go out of business, or some may manage to stay afloat if those with money continue to buy from them. But, there will be many who cannot afford it, so what are they to do?
That is literally Trump's MO. Did any of this happen prior to Trump, was name calling the opposition really much of a thing? Since his first presidential campaign, this is all Trump does to any who stand in his way or otherwise oppose him. He literally just called the Dems "world class losers" for him hypocritically accepting the gift of an airplane. He had previously blasted Dems for accepting gifts and said they should return them.
It's not honest to point this out as disgusting since it's coming from Dems while Trump seems to have started it and continues doing it. But, that is the one thing I have noticed in both Canadian and U.S. politics in the last several years--most citizens, and politicians, are unwilling to admit the wrongdoing "their" party does, even when it's the same or worse that the other party is doing.
Okay, I just started to watch a video you provided on Tariffs and Trump, and the guy went on for about 5 to 10 minutes talking about what he was going to talk about. I don't have time for that.
Let me just say my wife is British, and I've been to England, and I know the flow there is likely against Trump, just as it is in Europe. Actually, I think Europe has always been jealous of America, even though they relied heavily upon us in WW2 and following.
That being said, I think many experts would agree with you that tariffs cause the consumer grief. But I'm just putting a little faith in what Trump is *trying* to do--I'm not a Trump hater.
Those who call him names seem to have an agenda, and don't care to be fair regardless. When Biden came into office he immediately opposed everything Trump had done, even if it meant trying to remove the walls keeping gangmembers, rapists, and drug dealers out of our country, let alone the millions of illegals who want to bankrupt our country.
So, yes the tariffs mean a higher cost for the consumer. But what you're not mentioning is that this is a tactic, and not a permanent plan. The plan is to equalize, as much as possible, knowing that it has to be done, fairly, from country to country.
If it is done in demonstrable, exaggerated fashion, it is only because it's the "Art of the Deal," or negotiating tactics. The idea in poker is to act like you have a royal flush when you only have a pair of deuces.
Anyway, the consumer pain idea seems more like a tactic from the Left who want to cause Trump to lose in any and all things he does. Why not give it some time, since he was elected president and enjoyed great success in his 1st term, aside from the Democratic attacks which were continuous and wore away the public sentiment towards Trump?
What causes the costs to consumers to go down? For one, an increase in pay can enable the costs to go down, and that happens when there are lots of jobs and lots of industries here in the US. This is not actually a decrease in costs, but an inflationary adjustment, mitigating what used to be painful, and making it less painful.
When there comes to be a greater need for workers, and to keep them you have to pay more. This could enable workers to have more money, making higher prices less painful.
Do businesses go bankrupt here in the US? Yes they do, particularly when they have bad business models, a bad product, a poor service, or pay people too much. But if the industry is important for national security, I should think the government can somehow aid that business in that kind of cause? If people are demanding too much pay, then they'll just have to lose their jobs, which for many people is not on the table.
Another thing that causes costs to consumers to go down are when there are so many products that there aren't enough people to buy them. Then the problem is that maybe we're aborting too many people or not having enough children? That is another problem entirely, and not related to tariffs. When there are lots of jobs, and too few people, you either bring the price down or you go to Mexico for your consumer via migration.
Another thing that causes costs to go down is related to the increase in wages--inflation. When the government spends to much, and then the US has to borrow more money, the Treasury has to make more money which, when inundating the country, causes *everything* to go up.
When that happens, a higher cost is mitigated. The problem, again, is not tariffs but government spending, which Trump is guilty of, but the Democrats even more so.
Discretionary, foolish spending may actually be helped by higher prices. Do people really need to be spending their children's inheritances by travelling the world? Do people really need more than 2 cars, a boat, an RV or maybe even an airplane? I don't think so...at least not most people.
Do young adults all need a master's degree in general education, social work, or technology? Again, the answer is no. Higher prices for all these things can keep foolish spending in check. At any rate, what is a college degree worth if there is no job in the country, due to many industries moving away and out of our country?
Think about the fact that the loss of goods coming into our country makes our national security better. We don't have to compromise our beliefs by trading for oil in countries that hate Israel. We don't have to compromise with China, who steals our technology, by buying everything from them.
But this is a huge discussion, and I'm just touching upon a few points. Generally, I think you're correct, but want to avoid any connection with the Trump Derangement Syndrome. If it's just about the need to remove tariffs and lower costs, fine. That's true. But I don't think the greater tariffs are designed to do anything more than negotiate more favorably with other countries on behalf of the US.