15 days and about 16 hours or so from now....
: , I can't wait for the draft.
I'm pleased with the off-season moves the Browns have made, first and foremost getting Savage as GM and Crennel as coach. While Crennel hasn't had the opportunity to show us much yet, Savage has been doing a great job cleaning up our roster mess. I like all his moves with exception of trading for Dilfer, which I think was a mistake,
unless they draft a QB with the 1st rounder. Of course I wouldn't mind seeing them trade down a few spots to get a few more picks but I think they have a player that they want providing he's there. If not, then they go ahead and trade down.
The smokescreen.... is Braylon Edwards. Everyone is talking him up and in actuality both the 49ers and Dolphins could use a player like that. Personally, I don't want the Browns to draft him. I think he'll be a decent pro but from watching his season he isn't the caliber WR of say Fitzgerald or Roy Williams. Given the long line of Michigan WR busts (with exception of Amani Toomer), I would like to see the pick used on someone else or traded for more picks.
I think the Browns are trying to convince the 49ers to rethink who they are going to use their #1 pick on. Truth be known, Tim Ratay is actually a good QB when's he plays, but the problem is that he is always hurt. If you look at their WR corp, nobody stands out. They cut Brandon Lloyd who most thought would step up after T.O. flew away to Philly. Their best assett in the passing game is their TE. So I wouldn't be really shocked to see Edwards go to SF #1 overall.
The Dolphins have to take a RB. Unless Saban wants to make enemies out of all Dolphin fans and work out the problems with Ricky Williams. I don't see Ricky giving up his "habit" to make a comeback no matter how much money he owes the Dolphins. While the Dolphins do need a QB at some point, I think it says a lot about what the Dolphins are planning to do by the fact that Saban is going to stick with Feeley. I'm really convinced unless the situation with Ricky Williams drastically improves over the next 2 weeks, then most likely the Fins take Ronnie Brown over Cedric Benson at #2.
So who do the Browns want at #3?! Well they worked out both QB's. They made an early blink at Derrick Johnson at LB, and I'm sure Romeo Crennel would love the big play potential of Antrel Rolle at CB who plays the slot very well and is a great blitzer. But the latter two would be a stretch at #3, so I believe its down to the 2 QB's. A lot will depend on what happens with the top 2 picks. But if they can sneak their guy down to #3 then I think the Browns know who they want.
With that in mind, lets re-visit the Browns 1st pick when they rejoined the league in '99. Tim Couch came from an offensive system in Kentucky that was pretty much pass oriented. Much like that one, Utah runs a similar style offense using shotgun formations quite frequently. But its no surprise that these QB's end up frustrated in the pro's with D's being much better. With that in mind, I hope the Browns stay far away from Alex Smith. First and foremost, the Browns will not be using a pass first style offense. Reuben and Lee will see the ball a lot and lets not forget the big weapon that never had much of a chance last year, Kellen Winslow Jr. KW2 will be a big part of this offense, but this is definitely going to be run first. With that being said, Alex Smith just doesn't fit. If he is the QB option available at number #3 then I'm pretty sure that the Browns trade down or pick someone else.
So with that being said, it leaves one person that I'm convinced both fits the Browns system and is actually similar (& a former teamate) of the other high QB prospect scouted prior to this year by Phil Savage. Keep in mind that Newsome & Savage had the Ravens ready to pounce on Kyle Boller when they saw that he was available for longer than they thought and decided to trade up and nab him in the middle of the first round back in '03. So with that being said, I think Savage has convinced the Browns that if he drops to #3, then Aaron Rogers is they guy to take.
A lot can happen in the next few weeks and if the first two picks eliminate Rogers from being a possibility, then I wouldn't be surprised to see the Browns trade down. I think if they do trade down they will still have their eye on another QB in the late first/early second round. Charlie Frye is their second choice at QB but I'm convinced that if Rogers is available at #3 then he is the guy they are going to take.