What is driving the price up? When I try to answer that question, in most cases, I am able to counter the answer as well. For example....
- Crude oil prices. In 2008 when average retail for gasoline in the US was about $4.00 per gallon, the price per barrel of crude had gone up to $140.00. Currently the price per barrel is at about $120.00 so this doesn't account for the current retail price for gasoline.
- Crude oil supply. If there was a supply issue, it would follow suit that we'd be seeing major shortages at the retail pumps but I have heard very little about any shortages of gasoline. Incidentally, this also seems to defeat the idea that additional drilling would have much affect.
- Supply issues due to lack of truckers. Again, if there was a supply issue getting refined fuels delivered to the retail outlets, there'd be shortages all over the place.
- Oil company gouging and cooperative price setting. If this was going on, then how does one explain when fuel prices drop as they did from 2014-2021?
About the only explanation I have not been able to counter so far is inflation. The Trillions of dollars of stimulus monies that our government flooded into our economy during the past couple years didn't just appear out of nowhere. It's a fact that when an economy is flooded with more printed money the value of money goes down and that drives inflation up because it takes more of it to buy things. Simple supply and demand. The more money that's available, the greater the supply of money and the lower its value becomes.
Using the American Institute of Economic Research Cost of Living Calculator, $4.00 per gallon in 2008 is equivalent to $5.33 in 2022 dollars. Using the Consumer Price Index inflation calculator the result was very close to the same at $5.43 per gallon. This supports the probability that inflation is a key driver of the prices.