Actually, you do. Imagine an orphan who doesn't know who his real parents were. How is he going to know who his grandparents were, or his cousins, aunts or uncles?
Genetic analysis. Routinely solves problems like that. In the case of fossils, one has to look for homologies which will show you how different lines descended. Would you like some examples?
Evolutionists run into dead ends like that all the time. When they do, they often tend to make things up, but that doesn't make them true. Here's one example. Here we have an explanation of the evolution of bat wings.
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It's a reasonable hypothesis, supported by both bat development in utero (they use the same pathways, genes, and processes as other mammals, but the apoptosis of membranes between digits is suppressed in bats, and the development of the hand and digits is prolonged. So your diagram fits the data nicely.
And then there's this surprise:
Now Karen Sears, at the University of Colorado Health Sciences Center in Denver, has discovered why intermediate forms may be missing in the fossil record. In a bid to understand where bats’ specialised finger digits evolved from, Sears compared their embryological development with that of the finger digits of mice. In both animals, digits form from cartilage cells which divide and mature into bone in regions called growth plates.
But in bats, a key region of the growth plate called the hypertrophic zone is much larger than in mice, which allows their digits to grow much longer. That difference is controlled by a single gene known as BMP2, one of a family of genes important for limb development in mammals. Sears found that a protein produced by BMP2 is present in the hypertrophic region of bats, but not in mice. When she applied the protein to the digits of mouse embryos growing in the lab they elongated just like bat digits. Sears believes that bats began to evolve when this one gene became activated. Although it is a small developmental change, if it allowed the ancestors of bats to grow extended digits it could explain how bats evolved flight so rapidly, Sears told the Society of Vertebrate Paleontology meeting in Denver.
Relatively few transitional forms would have existed just briefly before being displaced by more advanced forms. “We’ve never had an adequate explanation†for the sudden appearance of bats, Nancy Simmons of the American Museum of Natural History in New York told New Scientist. “This sounds like a remarkable discovery.â€
http://www.sciscoop.com/2004-11-11-82718-510.html
Relatively uncommon for such a change to be mediated by just one mutation.
Now look at this fossil of the oldest known ancestor of modern bats:
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Oh, yes, the longer legs include a different pelvis and a much longer tail. These seem to have lagged behind the lengthened digits.
Transitional between modern bats and more primitive ones we don't yet have. Bats have fragile skeletons, and rarely fossilize. But we still have those genetic, developmental, and anatomical clues.
And here's a skeleton of an actual modern bat:
Lots of important differences here:
The relatively short wings and long hindlimbs place Onychonycteris outside of all previous bat species in terms of the ratio between its limbs. In fact, a plot of this ratio puts the fossil species neatly between bats and long-armed creatures like sloths—exactly what would be expected from a species at the base of the bat lineage.
http://arstechnica.com/science/2008/02/earliest-bat-fossil-reveals-transition-to-flight/
It might seem remarkable that the wings of the recently-discovered fossil, fit the hypothetical evolution of bats. But it's really not. Those hypothetical drawings used other data to make very solid projections, which turned out to be correct.
Although it's a microchiropteran, it has no ecolocation abilty, (structure of the ear shows this) And it retains the primitive mammalian trait of claws on the digits of the wing. Again, transitional.
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Notice that the oldest known ancestor of modern bats looks like... well... a bat.
See above. The large number of differences makes this bat the most primitive of those so far discovered.
Everything else in that first picture is pure fiction.
And now you know better. The shorter wings of a more primitive bat were correctly predicted based on genetic information, and the way bats develop as embryos. Pretty cool, um?
I'm sure someone will object to that last statement and say that it isn't fiction, but science.
As you just learned.
But science is based on observable facts, and where bats are concerned, there are no observable facts to support that first picture above.
Genetic and embryological data. That's why it so accurately predicted the newly-discovered transitional bat. Would you like to learn more about this one?