MayGodHeal
Member
- Jan 2, 2023
- 958
- 379
GM is phasing out petroleum in 12 years not saying the internal combustion won't survive I think it will just with cleaner combustions admissions.
I don't see a issue with changing what creates the propulsion.
If you are referring to using synthetic fuels and hydrogen, so far I don't see GM making any plans for that though their ICE tech may favor both.
As for EVs again, you can't build what you can't sell. If they plan on offering all EVs, going by current numbers they'll lose at least 75% of their sales. It may be possible that will change in 12 years, however it's highly unlikely. Time will tell. You can offer different power trains but you can't force one or the other. If EVs sell better in the future then maybe there is a chance and ICE enthusiasts will just be using used but there is also a chance both EVs and ICE will sell together along with EVs may not be as a great selling product.
It's mainly up to the free market. I'm not trying to say EVs will not sell or people shouldn't invest in them, but saying we're going to phase out ICE for EVs is very different from actually making it happen.
Getting the 25% to actually buy and use EVs is going to take a lot of work, especially when currently it's around 5% and lead to believe most of that is business fleet sales. You also have to work out the amount of issues EVs currently have as well. This is nothing like phasing out horses for ICE.
Pretty much all they needed in the beginning was the fuel. You need a place to charge your electric vehicle not everyone has the ability to do which is why a lot of people depend on ICE and very much unlikely to change in 10 or even 15 years. Yes more Charging stations may be up, you also need to provide enough power which will also be a massive undertaking especially if people are wanting faster Charging you also need batteries that can handle fast charging without degrading the batteries. The batteries need to be safe, with long life and hold up to it's rated range.. It's a toss up whether all this can be in place in 10 years. It could take much longer.
The biggest factor is getting buyers. Batteries really isn't the best idea, liquid fuels really is the better option if you really want society off of fossil fuels.. again it's likely not going to happen quickly. People wanting it to happen in 12 years and reality of the situation are two different things.
We might be using hydrogen electric vehicles instead, just have to replace the gas stations with hydrogen or add hydrogen with existing gas. The future is yet to be determined.